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Kairos MBA Masterclass·40:17

Startup Finance, Part 2: What VCs Look For - Team, Market, Business Model, Traction - the Raise Process, Stage Expectations, and How Much to Raise

Paul Agarwal Finance trainer - founder of an early-stage fund (ASR "Exemius Ventures", Delhi and Bangalore, 21 portfolio companies); a decade investing in the US and UK; McCombs (UT Austin)

The short version

  1. Team: 0-to-1 and 1-to-100 experience, tech plus commercial, hiring network; 90% of unicorns were first-time founders - 'right to win' and problem-founder fit matter more; a single founder is the consensus red flag (0:00-0:06).
  2. Market: TAM, SAM, SOM with a USD 1 bn-plus opportunity, segmented initial vs future users; rising LTV:CAC shows a flywheel; B2B vs B2C vs B2G (B2G's 9-12 month cycle kills the hockey stick; 12% cost of capital = 1% a month); avoid user-payer splits. Competition and defensibility, PMF as organic pull, SaaS metrics (ACV, logo and dollar retention), burn with unit economics (0:06-0:23).
  3. Process: map VCs by thesis, warm intro, pitch -> IC -> term sheet -> diligence -> SHA, 2-6 months. Stage needs from pre-seed to Series C; data room, curated lists of 10, a deadline, 8-9 reference checks; VCs fund <0.5% of what they see. Raise to the next milestone: USD 2 m now, USD 6 m in 18 months at 20% dilution implies USD 30 m vs ~10 m today; keep 6-8 months of buffer (0:21-0:40).

At a glance, three clicks deep

Skim here first: the closed row is the glance, open is the study card with the key points and timestamps, and the ↓ link drops to that concept's full write-up below.

01Founding team criteria and problem-founder fitRight to win;›

Right to win; no solo founders.

Team (0:00-0:06)

↓ Full write-up of this concept

02Market sizing, LTV:CAC, revenue models, competition and tractionTAM/SAM/SOM;›

TAM/SAM/SOM; LTV:CAC; model fit; pull, not push.

Market (0:06-0:12)

Models and working capital (0:12-0:17)

Competition, PMF, burn (0:17-0:23)

↓ Full write-up of this concept

03The raise process, stage expectations, and how much to raiseMap -> intro -> IC -> term sheet -> SHA;›

Map -> intro -> IC -> term sheet -> SHA; raise to the next milestone + buffer.

Process (0:21-0:27)

Stages (0:27-0:32)

Prep and amount (0:32-0:40)

↓ Full write-up of this concept

The concepts in full

01

Founding team criteria and problem-founder fit

Ninety percent of unicorns were first-time founders. VCs are not buying experience; they are buying a right to win.

VCs over-index on team: 0-to-1 experience, 1-to-10 or 1-to-100 scale experience, tech and commercial capability, hiring and launch network; at later stages the second layer of leaders matters more. Problem-founder fit ('sometimes more than founder-market fit') and learning rate count. Red flag: a single founder - fintech needs banking experience, D2C needs brand and marketing, tech needs a CTO.

Why it matters

The first slide VCs read and the first reason they pass.

02

Market sizing, LTV:CAC, revenue models, competition and traction

A 12% cost of capital is 1% a month. A three-month collection cycle costs you 3% of every rupee. B2G pays in twelve.

TAM = everyone who could buy (all athleisure buyers in India); SAM = addressable at your price and channels (mass premium, tier 2/3); SOM = what you can sustainably obtain, net of competitors. VCs want a USD 1 bn-plus opportunity; segment initial and future users (working professionals 20-35, later teens and parents); unexpected organic segments signal expansion, usually Series B on. Rising LTV:CAC or ROAS shows a flywheel. B2B: bigger cheques, long cycles; B2C: many customers, low price; B2G: 9-12 months to sell plus 3 to get paid - no hockey stick. Avoid models where user and payer differ (child vs parent) - CAC paid twice. Zero competition means creating a market; heavy competition risks a price war with better-funded rivals; defensibility = 10x product, GTM, pricing. PMF = organic pull, not pushed credit. Metrics: SaaS - ACV, logo retention, dollar retention; B2C - CAC, actives, repeat frequency. Burn to grow, not to sustain; vision must reach USD 100-200 m revenue for a USD 1 bn company.

Why it matters

The analytical half of the VC's checklist.

03

The raise process, stage expectations, and how much to raise

Raise two million now so that in eighteen months you can raise six at a thirty-million valuation. Work backward from the milestone.

Map VCs by stage, risk appetite, portfolio, thesis; warm intros beat cold email. Flow: pitch -> conversations -> investment committee -> term sheet -> diligence (legal, financial, tech, commercial) -> shareholders' agreement -> funded; 2-6 months total, 2-3 months from IC to money. Stages: friends/family/angels (belief, pre-product); micro VC / pre-seed (MVP); seed USD 2-3 m (product plus market validation); Series A (PMF, pull sales, ~USD 4-5 m ARR); Series B (new products, geographies); Series C (category leader). Family offices and corporate VCs too. Prepare a data room (MIS, projections, GTM, references, customer data); work curated lists of 10 VCs with a close deadline (avoid a 9-12 month raise); VCs see ~6,000 companies and fund ~10; keep investors warm with newsletters; expect 8-9 reference checks. Amount: back from milestones - USD 2 m now; USD 6 m in 18 months at 20% dilution implies a USD 30 m valuation vs ~10 m today (2-3x step-up); hold 6-8 months of buffer because money lands 2-3 months after the term sheet.

Why it matters

Turns fundraising from a hope into a scheduled project.

Tools referenced

ToolCoverageMomentContext
LinkedInmentionedResearching VCs
Growwmentioned

Action items

    Resources mentioned

    Resources
    • docLesson page on the platform

    Extraction notes

    This page was built from an auto-generated transcript, which garbles product and people's names. Those were corrected silently in everything above and logged here for transparency. The warnings flag claims that were true on the recording day but change fast.

    Transcript corrections applied

    The transcript saysThe trainer actually means
    LGVLTV
    DMATdemat accounts
    captivile issuescap-table issues
    Growth schoolGrowthSchool (the community)
    test case / SQ / SQLSKU
    GMBGMV
    average selling pointaverage selling price (ASP)
    1 0 1 / 2 0 1101 / 201

    True on recording day — verify before relying